一笔投资赚不赚钱,往往在买入的那一刻就已大致决定:买得足够便宜,后续只需时间;买得太贵,再好的资产也难逃平庸。
Whether an investment makes money is largely decided at the moment of purchase: buy cheap enough and time does the rest; buy too dear and even a great asset yields only mediocrity.
一笔投资赚不赚钱,往往在买入的那一刻就已大致决定:买得足够便宜,后续只需时间;买得太贵,再好的资产也难逃平庸。
Whether an investment makes money is largely decided at the moment of purchase: buy cheap enough and time does the rest; buy too dear and even a great asset yields only mediocrity.
这句话究竟在说什么
马克斯强调“买价决定收益率”这一朴素真理。 资产的未来表现你控制不了,但买入价格你今天就能定。同样的公司,在泡沫顶买入与在恐慌底买入,长期回报天差地别——便宜是日后所有收益的源头,贵则是所有风险的源头。 所以功夫应花在“等一个好价格”,而非“选一个好标的”后乱追。
给普通投资者的可执行清单
一个真实故事 / 场景化情节
同一只优质蓝筹,2007年高点买入者套了七年才解套,2014年低位买入者两年翻倍。资产没变,差别全在买价。马克斯常说:你未来赚多少,买的那一刻大多已写定——好价格,是好投资的一半。
大多数投资者主要关注回报,但对风险的关注远比回报重要。
Most investors are primarily oriented toward return, but a focus on risk is far more important.
我投资没有秘诀,就是买好公司、等好价格、长期拿。
I have no secret in investing—just buy good companies, wait for good prices, and hold long-term.
复利是世界的第八大奇迹。懂的人赚取它,不懂的人支付它。
Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn't, pays it.
股票的内在价值是由公司未来现金流量的现值决定的。
The intrinsic value of a stock is determined by the present value of the companys future cash flows.