好的投资往往来自于逆向思考。
Good investments often come from reverse thinking.
好的投资往往来自于逆向思考。
Good investments often come from reverse thinking.
这句话究竟在说什么
塞斯·卡拉曼用一句话点破:市场狂热时更需纪律。结合“好的投资往往来自于逆向思考。”,这正是他“安全边际与绝对收益”的落地——价值投资的本质是安全边际与下行保护,宁可错过也不买贵。
给普通投资者的可执行清单
一个真实故事 / 场景化情节
回到“好的投资往往来自于逆向思考。”——所著《安全边际》绝版后二手价被炒至上千美元,被视为价值投资圣经。
这句话在该大师思想体系里的位置
在塞斯·卡拉曼的体系里,这句话属于“安全边际与绝对收益”:先求不亏,再求赚,是他绝对收益思维的底色。
华尔街有一条铁律:如果每个人都喜欢某样东西,那么你最好避开它。大众的一致看好往往是泡沫的信号。
The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism.
别人处理他们的事务越不谨慎,我们处理自己的事务就必须越谨慎。
The less prudence with which others conduct their affairs, the greater prudence with which we should conduct our own affairs.
大多数投资者最大的错误在于把价格当作价值的指标,而不是利用价格偏离价值的机会。
The prevailing view is that the market is efficient. I disagree. The market is often inefficient, and it is the exploitation of these inefficiencies that provides the returns.
在投资中,你必须独立思考,逆向而动。
In investing, you must think independently and act in the opposite direction.