人们计算得太多，思考得太少。在投资中，方向比精确更重要，逻辑比数字更值钱。

People calculate too much and think too little.

把事情简单化——这是查理·芒格一生的信条。

Simplicity is Charlie Munger's lifelong creed.

我们永远无法精确知道风险在哪，但我们可以知道什么时候风险'不值那个价'——然后站在一旁什么都不做。

We can never know exactly where risks lie, but we can know when risks aren't being priced properly — and then stand aside and do nothing.

你需要学会和不确定性共舞，而不是试图消除它。

He who lives by the crystal ball is destined to eat ground glass.