在投资中,你必须独立思考,逆向而动。
In investing, you must think independently and act in the opposite direction.
在投资中,你必须独立思考,逆向而动。
In investing, you must think independently and act in the opposite direction.
这句话究竟在说什么
投资是孤独者的事业——你必须独立思考、敢于逆向、敢于在恐慌中买入、敢于在狂热中卖出。跟随共识的人赚不到超额收益。
给普通投资者的可执行清单
一个真实故事 / 场景化情节
1973-1974 年股灾,《华盛顿邮报》从 38 美元跌到 5 美元,全美媒体同行都在抛售。巴菲特逆势买入 4 亿美元,**到 1985 年赚 25 倍**。他后来说:'**当时所有人都在卖,全市场都说邮报要完——但我读财报,邮报的现金流非常健康,只是市场情绪在崩溃。**'
这句话在该大师思想体系里的位置
巴菲特 1986 年致股东信:'**在投资中,你必须独立思考,逆向而动。**' 芒格补充:'**逆向投资有三重难:'对'的事实、'对'的时机、'对'的心态'——多数人在第三关就输了。**'
成功的投资者知道什么时候应该逆向而行。
Successful investors know when they should go against the grain.
我职业生涯中见过的最严重的投资损失——不是来自买入了错误的资产而是来自在正确的资产上用了过高的杠杆然后被迫在错误的时间卖出。
The worst investment losses I've seen in my career didn't come from buying the wrong asset — they came from using too much leverage on the right asset and being forced to sell at the wrong time.
卓越的投资不是来自买入好东西,而是来自买得好。
Superior investing is not about buying good things, but buying things well.
大多数投资者最大的错误在于把价格当作价值的指标,而不是利用价格偏离价值的机会。
The prevailing view is that the market is efficient. I disagree. The market is often inefficient, and it is the exploitation of these inefficiencies that provides the returns.