人们总是低估罕见事件的可能性和影响。

People always underestimate the probability and impact of rare events.

如果你交易得太多，你肯定会犯错。

If you trade too much, you are sure to make mistakes.

如果你不把自己的想法写下来并在现实中检验，那你只是在和自己下棋——你永远都是赢家，但你永远也赢不了真正的比赛。

If you don't write down your ideas and test them against reality, you're just playing chess against yourself — you'll always win, but you'll never win the real game.

错过一个好机会的代价，远小于犯下一个致命错误的代价。

The cost of missing one good opportunity is far less than the cost of making one fatal mistake.