重要的不是你做对或做错了,而是你做对时赚了多少,做错时亏了多少。
It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.
重要的不是你做对或做错了,而是你做对时赚了多少,做错时亏了多少。
It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.
这句话究竟在说什么
乔治·索罗斯用一句话点破:保持开放,随时修正自己的观点。结合“重要的不是你做对或做错了,而是你做对…”,这正是他“反身性与试错”的落地——市场由参与者偏见驱动,价格与基本面相互反射,趋势自我强化至反转。
给普通投资者的可执行清单
一个真实故事 / 场景化情节
回到“重要的不是你做对或做错了,而是你做对…”——1992 年做空英镑(黑色星期三),押注英国维持汇率失败,单日获利超十亿美元。
这句话在该大师思想体系里的位置
在乔治·索罗斯的体系里,这句话属于“反身性与试错”:不恋战,认错比证明自己对更重要。
在商业世界里,我最惊讶的发现,是一种我称之为'机构惯性'的超级力量——它驱使管理层去模仿同行的行为,不管多么愚蠢。在抗拒机构惯性时,我的失败率比在收购好公司时还高。
My most surprising discovery: the overwhelming importance in business of an unseen force that we might call 'the institutional imperative.' In business, the institutional imperative drives managers to mindlessly imitate the behavior of their peers, no matter how foolish it may be. I have been more wrong about resisting the institutional imperative than I have been about buying good businesses.
投资于不确定性是最大的错误。
Investing in uncertainty is the biggest mistake.
当潮水退去,我们才知道谁在裸泳——但在那之前,我们都在假装游泳。
When the tide goes out, we can see who's been swimming naked—but until then, we've all been pretending.
不做空,不借钱炒股,不加杠杆。如果你懂投资,你不需要杠杆;如果你不懂投资,杠杆会让你破产。