风险并不存在于资产本身,而取决于你支付的价格。
Risk is not inherent in an asset. It depends on the price paid.
风险并不存在于资产本身,而取决于你支付的价格。
Risk is not inherent in an asset. It depends on the price paid.
这句话究竟在说什么
马克斯颠覆了'某资产天然高风险'的认知:同一资产,低价时是礼物,高价时是陷阱。国债若价格过高也有风险,垃圾债若足够便宜也能成机会。风险来自'价格相对价值是否划算',而非标签。常见误读是以为'买蓝筹就安全',其实贵了照样危险。
给普通投资者的可执行清单
一个真实故事 / 场景化情节
马克斯在橡树资本专做'困境债'(常被视作高风险)。但他在价格低到反映过度悲观时才出手,多年平均回报远高于同行。相反,2007年许多人抢购'AAA级'次级债,以为无风险,结果价格虚高、血本无归——印证风险在价格不在标签。
这句话在该大师思想体系里的位置
格雷厄姆:'**安全边际,是投资这座大厦的基石。**'
持有大量现金不是保守,而是为机会做好准备。当别人被迫卖出时,手里有现金的人就成了拍卖会上唯一的出价者。
Holding cash in the absence of opportunity is a sound strategy. Cash gives you the ability to buy when others are forced to sell.
成功的交易需要耐心、勇气和资金管理。
Successful trading requires patience, courage, and money management.
风险不是波动率,风险是发生永久性资本损失的可能性。教科书上用标准差衡量风险是完全错误的。
Risk is not volatility. Risk is the probability of permanent capital loss. Using standard deviation to measure risk is fundamentally wrong.
我相信最好的钱是在市场拐点处赚到的。大家都说试图猜顶测底会死得很惨,应该在趋势中段赚钱。然而十二年来,我一直在错过中段行情,却在顶部和底部赚了很多钱。
I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.